Post or Read Tropical Storm Chantal Messages
TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM AST THU AUG 16 2001
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BECOMES CHANTAL...THIRD TROPICAL STORM OF THE
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS AND ST. VINCENT
...AND ST. LUCIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GRENADINES AND DOMINICA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR MARTINIQUE LATER
EARLY VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS
STRENGTHENED AND HAS BECOME TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL. AT 8 AM AST...
1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.0 WEST OR ABOUT 370 MILES...595
KM...EAST OF BARBADOS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE WINDWARD
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR STRENGTHENING...AND
CHANTAL COULD BECOME A HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AIR
FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL BE IN THE AREA LATER TODAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF CHANTAL.
REPEATING THE 8 AM AST POSITION...12.9 N... 54.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 28 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.
WE ARE GOING TO TURKS AND CAICOS ON SATURDAY. SHOULD WE BE CONCERNED ?
HOW FAR IS THAT FROM THE HUIRRICANE ?
Chantal should pass south of the Greater Antilles (Cuba, Hispanola, and Puerto Rico). Turks and Caicos looks to be well out of the firing line. Keep abreast, but it shouldn't be a problem for you. Have a good trip!
All the original projections of the Chantal Storm appear to have placed it headed in a far more northerly route...Say the probability factors that the chance it would go farther south are about 20%....I live in Costa Rica and it appears that half the storm, albeit the weaker half, is headed directly for Honduras and Northern Nicaragua...How can anyone be certain that it's trajectory isn't a far more southern path than originally thought???Looks like that to me!
Do you think Corpus Christi is in danger?